每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-08 │ 偏多 · 吸貨中
【主線】外資持續流入金融保險（+158M），撤出半導體（-93M）。散戶恐慌拋售 GEMTEK（-8.1σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。CHUN YUAN STEEL 出現 -8.9σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資連續 3 天在半導體轉為淨賣超，吸貨主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-08 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| INX 3481 | +96,566K | -100,876K | -1.9σ |
| 0056 0056 | +46,498K | -58,176K | -1.6σ |
| Fubon Financial 2881 | +37,499K | -30,872K | -3.1σ |
| HON HAI 2317 | +30,089K | -28,931K | -1.2σ |
| FFHC 2892 | +19,114K | -19,354K | -1.4σ |
| UNI-PRESIDENT 1216 | +16,941K | -17,630K | -5.2σ |
| GEMTEK 4906 | +16,511K | -16,649K | -8.1σ |
| TC 2027 | +12,942K | -13,607K | -1.5σ |
| SINOPACHOLDINGS 2890 | +12,194K | -12,132K | -1.0σ |
| MEGA FHC 2886 | +11,720K | -11,570K | -1.8σ |
| Acbel 6282 | +10,802K | -11,049K | -2.0σ |
| Hannstar 6116 | +10,430K | -10,438K | -1.8σ |
| INVENTEC 2356 | +9,713K | -8,981K | -1.1σ |
| ELASER 3450 | +9,369K | -9,233K | -4.3σ |
| SiS 2363 | +8,514K | -8,777K | -5.7σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHUN YUAN STEEL 2010 | -5,019K | -8.9σ | 🔴 |
| GEMTEK 4906 | +16,511K | 8.2σ | 🟢 |
| FITIPOWER 4961 | +1,880K | 7.4σ | 🟢 |
| CMMT 4960 | -11,907K | -7.3σ | 🔴 |
| GENIIDEAS 7631 | -60K | -7.3σ | 🔴 |
| Sercomm 5388 | +7,934K | 6.6σ | 🟢 |
| iCatchtek 6695 | +1,860K | 6.3σ | 🟢 |
| NANTEX 2108 | +1,752K | 5.9σ | 🟢 |
| Lang 6165 | +2,392K | 5.8σ | 🟢 |
| SiS 2363 | +8,514K | 5.7σ | 🟢 |
| AGT 2432 | +46K | 5.6σ | 🟢 |
| Epileds 4956 | -2,563K | -5.5σ | 🔴 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 金融保險 | +159M | -83M | -78M |
| 光電 | +67M | +4M | -66M |
| 其他電子 | +30M | +0M | -28M |
| 電腦及週邊 | +26M | -7M | -17M |
| 食品 | +16M | +0M | -16M |
| ... | |||
| 化學工業 | -20M | -0M | +21M |
| 電器電纜 | -40M | +0M | +41M |
| 電子零組件 | -41M | +7M | +39M |
| 塑膠 | -49M | +0M | +53M |
| 半導體 | -93M | +2M | +110M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.