每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-20 │ 偏空 · 派發中
【主線】外資持續流入鋼鐵（+10M），撤出金融保險（-104M）。散戶恐慌拋售 VIA（-6.6σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。FFHC 出現 -7.5σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資在當前流出產業反轉為淨買超 > +200M，派發主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-20 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| CTBC HOLDING 2891 | +50,584K | -46,906K | -3.1σ |
| EMC 2603 | +25,571K | -23,458K | -4.0σ |
| TC 2027 | +21,269K | -19,399K | -2.2σ |
| VIA 2388 | +8,967K | -9,675K | -6.6σ |
| KINPO 2312 | +7,270K | -6,212K | -1.2σ |
| PARPRO 4916 | +5,473K | -5,077K | -3.9σ |
| FENC 1402 | +4,997K | -4,764K | -1.2σ |
| ZDT 4958 | +4,812K | -10,609K | -3.1σ |
| SUNPLUS 2401 | +4,640K | -5,596K | -4.1σ |
| PTI 6239 | +4,514K | -3,389K | -1.6σ |
| SIWARD 2484 | +4,261K | -4,342K | -4.7σ |
| Qisda 2352 | +3,795K | -4,790K | -3.0σ |
| EVERLIGHT 1711 | +3,626K | -3,619K | -1.6σ |
| SYNCMOLD 1582 | +3,294K | -3,173K | -4.6σ |
| WANHAI 2615 | +2,633K | -4,226K | -1.1σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE 1533 | +440K | 8.7σ | 🟢 |
| Les enphants 2911 | +464K | 7.6σ | 🟢 |
| FFHC 2892 | -136,974K | -7.5σ | 🔴 |
| VIA 2388 | +8,967K | 6.8σ | 🟢 |
| HUXEN 2433 | -63K | -6.2σ | 🔴 |
| ESON 5243 | -4,478K | -5.8σ | 🔴 |
| EVEROHMS 6834 | +838K | 5.4σ | 🟢 |
| Spirox Corp. 3055 | -1,114K | -5.3σ | 🔴 |
| FOREST WATER 8473 | +1,385K | 5.1σ | 🟢 |
| CCSB 1762 | +241K | 5.0σ | 🟢 |
| PLOTECH 6141 | +1,238K | 5.0σ | 🟢 |
| EMC 2603 | +25,571K | 5.0σ | 🟢 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 鋼鐵 | +11M | -1M | -10M |
| 航運 | +10M | -1M | -7M |
| 紡織 | +6M | -0M | -6M |
| 綠能環保 | +2M | -0M | -1M |
| 居家生活 | +0M | -0M | -0M |
| ... | |||
| 電子零組件 | -21M | +18M | +9M |
| 電腦及週邊 | -27M | +2M | +31M |
| 半導體 | -28M | +11M | +29M |
| 光電 | -29M | +1M | +28M |
| 金融保險 | -103M | +6M | +105M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.