每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-13 │ 偏多 · 吸貨中
【主線】外資持續流入光電（+148M），撤出半導體（-75M）。散戶恐慌拋售 INVENTEC（-8.2σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。DELPHA 出現 -10.7σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資連續 3 天在半導體轉為淨賣超，吸貨主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-13 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| INX 3481 | +127,240K | -132,927K | -2.5σ |
| INVENTEC 2356 | +60,647K | -61,726K | -8.2σ |
| AUO 2409 | +56,470K | -52,533K | -1.7σ |
| Compal 2324 | +47,610K | -49,032K | -3.7σ |
| Macronix 2337 | +40,228K | -49,986K | -3.0σ |
| ZDT 4958 | +23,972K | -25,745K | -7.5σ |
| CTBC HOLDING 2891 | +16,659K | -19,432K | -1.1σ |
| FFHC 2892 | +15,149K | -15,867K | -1.2σ |
| UNI-PRESIDENT 1216 | +13,102K | -13,649K | -4.0σ |
| URE 3576 | +10,589K | -10,588K | -3.3σ |
| MSI 2377 | +8,584K | -9,067K | -3.3σ |
| Highwealth 2542 | +7,548K | -7,611K | -3.6σ |
| CHT 2412 | +5,909K | -7,554K | -2.3σ |
| SCSB 5876 | +4,550K | -4,197K | -1.4σ |
| WTC 2492 | +4,478K | -6,135K | -3.6σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| DELPHA 2530 | -4,156K | -10.7σ | 🔴 |
| OK BIOTECH 4155 | +526K | 9.0σ | 🟢 |
| INVENTEC 2356 | +60,647K | 8.4σ | 🟢 |
| Asmedia 5269 | -1,542K | -8.2σ | 🔴 |
| MVI 2342 | -4,140K | -8.2σ | 🔴 |
| Sercomm 5388 | -8,839K | -7.4σ | 🔴 |
| ZDT 4958 | +23,972K | 6.5σ | 🟢 |
| COMPEQ 2313 | -40,696K | -5.3σ | 🔴 |
| KO JA 5215 | -71K | -5.0σ | 🔴 |
| HY 6573 | -202K | -4.9σ | 🔴 |
| GTK 2441 | -6,168K | -4.8σ | 🔴 |
| Cheng Loong 1904 | +2,581K | 4.8σ | 🟢 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 光電 | +148M | +1M | -146M |
| 金融保險 | +112M | -59M | -54M |
| 電腦及週邊 | +83M | -3M | -80M |
| 其他電子 | +15M | -5M | -9M |
| 食品 | +12M | +1M | -13M |
| ... | |||
| 航運 | -28M | -5M | +35M |
| 塑膠 | -30M | -1M | +31M |
| 鋼鐵 | -36M | -0M | +38M |
| 電子零組件 | -62M | +7M | +61M |
| 半導體 | -75M | +49M | +39M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.