每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-06-04 │ 偏空 · 派發中
【主線】外資持續流入半導體（+137M），撤出電腦及週邊（-273M）。散戶恐慌拋售 TCFHC（-4.3σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。Sinher 出現 -9.1σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資在當前流出產業反轉為淨買超 > +200M，派發主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-06-04 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| TBB 2834 | +31,854K | -32,181K | -3.9σ |
| FFHC 2892 | +31,431K | -32,981K | -2.4σ |
| E.S.F.H 2884 | +26,987K | -27,791K | -2.0σ |
| CHANG HWA BANK 2801 | +22,466K | -22,498K | -2.3σ |
| SINOPACHOLDINGS 2890 | +21,936K | -23,480K | -2.0σ |
| TCFHC 5880 | +20,195K | -21,508K | -4.3σ |
| FPC 1301 | +17,068K | -16,766K | -2.1σ |
| CPDC 1314 | +14,182K | -14,717K | -2.3σ |
| Acbel 6282 | +13,077K | -14,905K | -2.8σ |
| FEIB 2845 | +11,157K | -11,184K | -3.8σ |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | +10,416K | -13,640K | -1.8σ |
| MEGA FHC 2886 | +10,267K | -11,471K | -1.7σ |
| CMC 2323 | +10,210K | -9,771K | -4.1σ |
| KYEC 2449 | +7,927K | -8,443K | -1.6σ |
| FPCC 6505 | +7,640K | -7,457K | -2.2σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sinher 4999 | -195K | -9.1σ | 🔴 |
| BLG 1805 | +337K | 8.4σ | 🟢 |
| ACER 2353 | -64,385K | -8.3σ | 🔴 |
| Arch Meter 4588 | -212K | -7.3σ | 🔴 |
| Baolong Intl. 1906 | -195K | -7.2σ | 🔴 |
| Compal 2324 | -99,951K | -7.1σ | 🔴 |
| PSC 2855 | -16,983K | -6.8σ | 🔴 |
| UMC 2303 | +149,148K | 6.7σ | 🟢 |
| CHP 1905 | -4,212K | -6.3σ | 🔴 |
| Jih Lin 5285 | +1,109K | 6.2σ | 🟢 |
| BESTEC 3308 | +195K | 6.2σ | 🟢 |
| COPARTNER 3550 | +2,245K | 6.0σ | 🟢 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 半導體 | +138M | -163M | 29M |
| 金融保險 | +48M | +301M | -356M |
| 塑膠 | +30M | +4M | -33M |
| 電子通路 | +15M | -9M | -5M |
| 鋼鐵 | +15M | -9M | -7M |
| ... | |||
| 電子零組件 | -27M | -6M | +38M |
| 電機機械 | -41M | +1M | +40M |
| 光電 | -42M | -5M | +49M |
| 其他電子 | -47M | -0M | +51M |
| 電腦及週邊 | -272M | +58M | +226M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.