每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-19 │ 偏空 · 派發中
【主線】外資持續流入電子零組件（+29M），撤出半導體（-105M）。散戶恐慌拋售 ACTION（-6.2σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。TBI MOTION 出現 -6.1σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資在當前流出產業反轉為淨買超 > +200M，派發主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-19 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| COMPEQ 2313 | +13,247K | -16,213K | -1.9σ |
| CHIN-POON 2355 | +10,321K | -10,482K | -4.6σ |
| ZINWELL 2485 | +8,088K | -8,552K | -2.9σ |
| WANHAI 2615 | +7,067K | -7,155K | -1.9σ |
| TWM 3045 | +5,851K | -5,884K | -1.7σ |
| Highwealth 2542 | +5,337K | -5,610K | -2.7σ |
| PSI 8028 | +5,167K | -4,764K | -2.2σ |
| WNC 6285 | +4,764K | -4,745K | -2.0σ |
| TXC 3042 | +3,672K | -3,537K | -3.2σ |
| Chailease 5871 | +3,610K | -3,421K | -1.6σ |
| URE 3576 | +3,354K | -3,339K | -1.1σ |
| Central Re 2851 | +2,945K | -2,944K | -3.9σ |
| CMMT 4960 | +2,798K | -2,800K | -1.4σ |
| SIWARD 2484 | +2,491K | -2,487K | -2.7σ |
| ACTION 3024 | +2,398K | -2,714K | -6.2σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| JYPKG 8488 | +115K | 12.9σ | 🟢 |
| 0057 0057 | +17K | 7.8σ | 🟢 |
| 0053 0053 | +27K | 6.6σ | 🟢 |
| TBI MOTION 4540 | -5,808K | -6.1σ | 🔴 |
| KO JA 5215 | -84K | -5.9σ | 🔴 |
| DARFON 8163 | -2,590K | -5.6σ | 🔴 |
| ACTION 3024 | +2,398K | 5.5σ | 🟢 |
| EirGenix 6589 | -1,513K | -5.3σ | 🔴 |
| HsingTa 1109 | -151K | -5.0σ | 🔴 |
| EVEROHMS 6834 | -708K | -4.8σ | 🔴 |
| CHIN-POON 2355 | +10,321K | 4.7σ | 🟢 |
| DAVICOM 3094 | +596K | 4.5σ | 🟢 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 電子零組件 | +30M | +7M | -39M |
| 通信網路 | +13M | -0M | -14M |
| 建材營造 | +4M | -0M | -3M |
| 資訊服務 | +0M | -0M | -0M |
| 居家生活 | +0M | -0M | 0M |
| ... | |||
| 塑膠 | -23M | -0M | +24M |
| 光電 | -27M | +2M | +16M |
| 電腦及週邊 | -28M | -22M | +47M |
| 金融保險 | -74M | -49M | +120M |
| 半導體 | -104M | +25M | +78M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.