每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-11 │ 偏多 · 吸貨中
【主線】外資持續流入金融保險（+36M），撤出電子通路（-20M）。散戶恐慌拋售 Acbel（-5.5σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。Castles 出現 -9.9σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資連續 3 天在半導體轉為淨賣超，吸貨主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-11 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUO 2409 | +31,840K | -33,831K | -1.1σ |
| CAL 2610 | +30,605K | -31,042K | -3.6σ |
| Acbel 6282 | +27,912K | -29,644K | -5.5σ |
| KINPO 2312 | +25,314K | -27,559K | -4.9σ |
| UMC 2303 | +23,943K | -26,311K | -1.2σ |
| ETERNAL 1717 | +18,439K | -20,283K | -4.7σ |
| NTC 2408 | +17,226K | -23,128K | -1.5σ |
| ACER 2353 | +16,006K | -14,690K | -2.3σ |
| FFHC 2892 | +14,759K | -14,180K | -1.0σ |
| NPC 1303 | +14,416K | -14,511K | -1.0σ |
| SCSB 5876 | +13,344K | -12,759K | -4.2σ |
| PANJIT 2481 | +10,734K | -11,168K | -3.2σ |
| MEGA FHC 2886 | +10,093K | -9,272K | -1.4σ |
| Highwealth 2542 | +9,549K | -9,636K | -4.6σ |
| LTC 2301 | +9,520K | -9,646K | -1.8σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| tpt 8213 | +2,662K | 10.0σ | 🟢 |
| Castles 5258 | -1,956K | -9.9σ | 🔴 |
| Groundhog 6906 | -318K | -7.5σ | 🔴 |
| ZENITRON 3028 | -4,168K | -7.3σ | 🔴 |
| FROCH 2030 | +1,443K | 7.2σ | 🟢 |
| TSMT 6278 | -7,676K | -6.8σ | 🔴 |
| Lintes 6715 | +577K | 6.1σ | 🟢 |
| Sinkang 2032 | +1,073K | 5.9σ | 🟢 |
| Acbel 6282 | +27,912K | 5.5σ | 🟢 |
| HOLTEK 6202 | +3,177K | 5.4σ | 🟢 |
| FLEXIUM 6269 | -4,407K | -5.2σ | 🔴 |
| EVERLIGHT 1711 | -12,135K | -5.2σ | 🔴 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 金融保險 | +36M | -61M | 31M |
| 塑膠 | +35M | -0M | -35M |
| 航運 | +28M | -2M | -26M |
| 半導體 | +26M | +3M | -36M |
| 其他電子 | +25M | +0M | -26M |
| ... | |||
| 鋼鐵 | -5M | -1M | +6M |
| 其他 | -6M | +1M | +6M |
| 運動休閒 | -8M | -1M | +9M |
| 玻璃陶瓷 | -9M | -0M | +9M |
| 電子通路 | -19M | +9M | +11M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.