每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-05-05 │ 偏多 · 吸貨中
【主線】外資持續流入金融保險（+125M），撤出水泥（-18M）。散戶恐慌拋售 WTC（-4.6σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 9 天外資買超（累計 +483M）。
【反證】DELTA 股東人數 4 週暴增 +39.7%，大戶持股下降 -1.1% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。ENNOSTAR 出現 -6.4σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 DELTA 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資連續 3 天在半導體轉為淨賣超，吸貨主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-05-05 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| INX 3481 | +116,408K | -130,392K | -2.5σ |
| HON HAI 2317 | +82,619K | -89,604K | -3.9σ |
| NPC 1303 | +55,407K | -54,698K | -3.9σ |
| 0056 0056 | +51,958K | -72,012K | -1.9σ |
| KGI Financial 2883 | +42,748K | -24,775K | -1.2σ |
| CTBC HOLDING 2891 | +38,325K | -22,870K | -1.4σ |
| NTC 2408 | +24,934K | -34,707K | -2.3σ |
| TGI 1802 | +21,604K | -25,810K | -2.1σ |
| COMPEQ 2313 | +14,031K | -15,168K | -1.8σ |
| FCFC 1326 | +10,849K | -11,433K | -1.4σ |
| Dynamic Holding 3715 | +9,738K | -10,446K | -2.5σ |
| WTC 2492 | +7,711K | -7,819K | -4.6σ |
| LPI 2369 | +7,238K | -8,252K | -4.0σ |
| SUN YAD 1316 | +5,382K | -5,374K | -3.6σ |
| Apex 4927 | +5,047K | -4,972K | -2.3σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 9d | +484M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +201M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +91M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +79M |
| WPG 3702 | 9d | +69M |
| WT 3036 | 10d | +55M |
| TWM 3045 | 7d | +35M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 9d | +34M |
| ROEC 6176 | 10d | +33M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 6d | +30M |
| CHANG WAH 8070 | 6d | +28M |
| PTI 6239 | 8d | +24M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELTA 2308 | 386,633 | +39.7% | 83.33% | -1.11% |
| ASEH 3711 | 273,940 | +34.0% | 87.92% | -0.9% |
| Makalot 1477 | 27,766 | +32.3% | 64.98% | -5.08% |
| CHCIW 1727 | 20,692 | +32.0% | 58.76% | -0.49% |
| TEWC 1623 | 6,332 | +19.5% | 78.71% | -0.82% |
| ETERNAL 1717 | 107,238 | +16.6% | 65.12% | -2.58% |
| 0050 0050 | 1,227,752 | +11.4% | 6683.4% | -585.99% |
| Bin Chuan 1569 | 24,462 | +10.3% | 52.48% | -0.66% |
| 0053 0053 | 2,642 | +9.5% | 20.77% | -0.38% |
| TSMC 2330 | 2,670,494 | +9.0% | 88.12% | -0.33% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMC 8215 | +3,193K | 7.5σ | 🟢 |
| ENNOSTAR 3714 | -19,006K | -6.4σ | 🔴 |
| TASC 2340 | -5,573K | -5.9σ | 🔴 |
| AVer 3669 | -189K | -5.1σ | 🔴 |
| JPC 6197 | +2,550K | 5.0σ | 🟢 |
| WELLTEND 3021 | -436K | -4.9σ | 🔴 |
| WTC 2492 | +7,711K | 4.8σ | 🟢 |
| 0056 0056 | +51,958K | 4.5σ | 🟢 |
| PELL BMT 6949 | -186K | -4.5σ | 🔴 |
| Optimax 3051 | -1,301K | -4.3σ | 🔴 |
| LEADTEK 2465 | +927K | 4.2σ | 🟢 |
| NPC 1303 | +55,407K | 4.1σ | 🟢 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 金融保險 | +125M | -108M | -13M |
| 其他電子 | +86M | +4M | -92M |
| 塑膠 | +83M | -2M | -84M |
| 半導體 | +57M | +22M | -84M |
| 光電 | +55M | -1M | -74M |
| ... | |||
| 其他 | -5M | +2M | +3M |
| 電機機械 | -6M | -0M | +7M |
| 食品 | -7M | -1M | +9M |
| 鋼鐵 | -13M | +1M | +13M |
| 水泥 | -18M | -1M | +20M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.