每日訊號掃描
📊 2026-06-12 │ 偏多 · 吸貨中
【主線】外資持續流入金融保險（+285M），撤出電腦及週邊（-47M）。散戶恐慌拋售 URE（-8.4σ），外資同步買進 — 典型聰明資金分歧訊號，共 15 支觸發。UMC 連續 10 天外資買超（累計 +499M）。
【反證】0053 股東人數 4 週暴增 +141.4%，大戶持股下降 -1.9% — 若擴散至更多股票則為派發訊號。TXC 出現 -8.7σ 異常賣出，若為先行指標則主線反轉。
【觸發】觀察 UMC 連買是否中斷（中斷 = 建倉完成）。追蹤 0053 下週股東變化 — 加速 = 出場訊號。下一交易日 15:00 更新法人買賣超。
【失效】若外資連續 3 天在半導體轉為淨賣超，吸貨主線失效。
─── 資料：證交所 T86 + STOCK_DAY_ALL │ 截至 2026-06-12 收盤 │ 33 產業、39 訊號
🧠 聰明資金訊號 (H3: p<0.0001, avg +0.91% 20d)
Foreign buying while retail panic-sells. Historically profitable.
| Stock | Foreign | Retail | Retail Z |
|---|---|---|---|
| TS Holdings 2887 | +85,214K | -91,935K | -3.0σ |
| CAL 2610 | +41,603K | -43,788K | -4.7σ |
| EVAAIR 2618 | +37,749K | -35,216K | -3.6σ |
| WEC 2344 | +33,574K | -38,857K | -1.4σ |
| URE 3576 | +30,963K | -31,127K | -8.4σ |
| SINOPACHOLDINGS 2890 | +30,858K | -30,804K | -2.6σ |
| TBB 2834 | +29,746K | -29,874K | -3.6σ |
| FFHC 2892 | +28,859K | -28,852K | -2.1σ |
| CSC 2002 | +28,338K | -29,250K | -1.9σ |
| WALSIN 1605 | +27,618K | -29,225K | -2.4σ |
| NTC 2408 | +25,213K | -27,789K | -1.8σ |
| E.S.F.H 2884 | +23,618K | -22,565K | -1.6σ |
| CHANG HWA BANK 2801 | +23,525K | -23,411K | -2.4σ |
| NPC 1303 | +20,882K | -22,326K | -1.6σ |
| Supreme 8112 | +17,466K | -17,556K | -3.9σ |
📈 外資連續買超
Consecutive buying days — systematic position building.
| Stock | Days | Cumulative Flow |
|---|---|---|
| UMC 2303 | 10d | +499M |
| YMTC 2609 | 10d | +202M |
| FFHC 2892 | 5d | +144M |
| TC 2027 | 10d | +95M |
| Mercuries Life 2867 | 10d | +89M |
| WPG 3702 | 10d | +72M |
| TWM 3045 | 8d | +38M |
| O-Bank 2897 | 10d | +36M |
| Hannstar 6116 | 7d | +30M |
| UNI-PRESIDENT 1216 | 7d | +21M |
| TTW 6757 | 10d | +19M |
| CATHAY RED 2501 | 8d | +18M |
⚠️ 泡沫警告 (H6: avg -0.87% 20d)
Retail flooding in while big holders exit. Distribution pattern.
| Stock | Holders | 4w Growth | Big Holder % | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0053 0053 | 6,220 | +141.4% | 18.91% | -1.86% |
| HO TUNG 1714 | 94,908 | +23.5% | 62.12% | -0.86% |
| CMFC 1718 | 180,432 | +22.2% | 55.19% | -0.68% |
| TECO 1504 | 214,584 | +17.1% | 69.6% | -3.92% |
| FE 1519 | 87,169 | +16.5% | 72.77% | -2.25% |
| TYG 1319 | 33,615 | +15.7% | 80.18% | -2.66% |
| LP 1447 | 38,362 | +14.5% | 71.12% | -0.4% |
| LEALEA 1444 | 62,467 | +11.1% | 64.62% | -0.38% |
| SSFC 1409 | 143,798 | +10.0% | 66.08% | -1.95% |
| ECLAT 1476 | 20,240 | +9.7% | 80.18% | -1.64% |
⚡ 3σ 異常活動
Extremely unusual institutional activity — rare events.
| Stock | Foreign | Z-score | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXC 3042 | -11,223K | -8.7σ | 🔴 |
| FRG 2107 | +742K | 8.6σ | 🟢 |
| ONANO 6405 | -953K | -8.4σ | 🔴 |
| URE 3576 | +30,963K | 8.4σ | 🟢 |
| KIM FOREST 6645 | +87K | 8.3σ | 🟢 |
| KC 6155 | -3,847K | -8.1σ | 🔴 |
| SanDi 1438 | -284K | -7.8σ | 🔴 |
| Tainergy 4934 | +2,338K | 7.5σ | 🟢 |
| RIGHT WAY 1506 | +224K | 7.2σ | 🟢 |
| EDOM 3048 | -7,568K | -7.1σ | 🔴 |
| GSC 2406 | +16,057K | 6.8σ | 🟢 |
| TA-I 2478 | -3,748K | -6.7σ | 🔴 |
🏭 產業輪動
| Sector | Foreign | SITC | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 金融保險 | +286M | -43M | -243M |
| 航運 | +109M | -8M | -107M |
| 半導體 | +58M | +25M | -99M |
| 塑膠 | +51M | +0M | -54M |
| 鋼鐵 | +48M | +2M | -51M |
| ... | |||
| 電子零組件 | -5M | +15M | +-10M |
| 其他電子 | -8M | +1M | +7M |
| 91 | -9M | +0M | +9M |
| 紡織 | -12M | -0M | +12M |
| 電腦及週邊 | -47M | +8M | +38M |
Signals based on peer-reviewed research (Harvard, UC Davis, TEJ). Not investment advice. See /research for methodology.